Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Sean Monahan
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 48.7% vs Monahan 52.4% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 75.3%
Defensive zone
Monahan 58.0%
Neutral zone
Monahan 66.0%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 63.8%
36.2%
63.8%
Nugent-Hopkins
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Nugent-Hopkins
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
1
0
Nugent-Hopkins
Monahan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
2
0
Nugent-Hopkins
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (479)
52.4% (853)
-2.1%
Power Play
50.0% (28)
58.6% (174)
-8.6%
Penalty Kill
30.0% (50)
46.5% (144)
-16.5%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +16.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (384).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Monahan is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (782).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Monahan
Home
48.9% (270)
53.4% (624)
Away
48.1% (287)
51.7% (547)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Monahan
P1
48.7%
53.7%
P2
50.0%
52.4%
P3
47.3%
51.6%
OT
36.4%
57.1%
Final 5 min
43.8%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.5%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2024 | 3 | 14:29 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 2 | 15:41 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 1 | 08:11 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |