Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Sean Monahan
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 48.3% vs Monahan 54.5% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 67.9%
Defensive zone
Monahan 55.0%
Neutral zone
Monahan 70.0%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 67.9%
32.1%
67.9%
Nugent-Hopkins
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Nugent-Hopkins
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
1
0
Nugent-Hopkins
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (408)
57.1% (871)
-6.1%
Power Play
0.0% (6)
53.1% (262)
-53.1%
Penalty Kill
35.9% (78)
44.6% (139)
-8.7%
On power play, Monahan has a +53.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (339).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Monahan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (753).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Monahan
Home
50.8% (258)
55.3% (644)
Away
44.9% (234)
54.5% (628)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Monahan
P1
51.6%
53.9%
P2
45.2%
55.3%
P3
47.6%
54.4%
OT
40.0%
76.5%
Final 5 min
47.4%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.0%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2024 | 1 | 07:43 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |