Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Steven Stamkos
2011-12 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Nugent-Hopkins wins 39.0% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 39.3% vs Stamkos 45.8% (-8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 72.6%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 75.4%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 73.9%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 74.2%
74.2%
25.8%
Nugent-Hopkins
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Nugent-Hopkins
Stamkos
Last 6: Nugent-Hopkins 1-5 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
1
0
Nugent-Hopkins
Stamkos
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
2
Nugent-Hopkins
Stamkos
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
3
Nugent-Hopkins
Stamkos
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
37.1% (566)
45.6% (1,055)
-8.5%
Power Play
54.5% (22)
46.6% (116)
+7.9%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
42.1% (38)
-2.1%
On even strength, Stamkos has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 39.0% vs right-shot opponents (200).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Stamkos is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (890).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Stamkos
Home
37.5% (312)
48.4% (636)
Away
37.5% (293)
42.3% (591)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Stamkos
P1
35.4%
45.7%
P2
37.8%
46.8%
P3
39.9%
43.7%
OT
28.6%
48.0%
Final 5 min
37.1%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
37.5%
Stamkos
56.0%▬
56.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2012 | OT | 02:32 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 22, 2012 | 3 | 11:14 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 22, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 22, 2012 | 2 | 03:59 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 22, 2012 | 2 | 00:36 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 22, 2012 | 1 | 04:32 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |