Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Steven Stamkos
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 48.7% vs Stamkos 49.9% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 78.9%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 67.4%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 52.2%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Nugent-Hopkins
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Nugent-Hopkins
Stamkos
Last 5: Nugent-Hopkins 3-2 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Nugent-Hopkins
Stamkos
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
1
0
Nugent-Hopkins
Stamkos
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
2
1
Nugent-Hopkins
Stamkos
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (479)
49.3% (670)
+1.0%
Power Play
50.0% (28)
53.7% (121)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
30.0% (50)
33.3% (3)
-3.3%
On power play, Stamkos has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (173).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Stamkos is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (610).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Stamkos
Home
48.9% (270)
54.0% (400)
Away
48.1% (287)
45.7% (394)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Stamkos
P1
48.7%
48.6%
P2
50.0%
54.5%
P3
47.3%
45.4%
OT
36.4%
100.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.5%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2024 | 3 | 11:50 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 2 | 02:44 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 1 | 08:22 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 3 | 07:20 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 1 | 08:05 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |