Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Steven Stamkos
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Nugent-Hopkins wins 46.1% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 47.7% vs Stamkos 54.6% (-9.4%)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 63.6%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 71.1%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 50.8%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Nugent-Hopkins
Stamkos
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (189)
56.7% (254)
-9.1%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
52.6% (76)
+47.4%
Penalty Kill
29.4% (17)
100.0% (2)
-70.6%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +70.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (76).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Stamkos is 58.9% vs left-shot opponents (248).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Stamkos
Home
48.5% (132)
51.9% (158)
Away
43.4% (76)
59.8% (174)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Stamkos
P1
51.4%
56.5%
P2
41.3%
55.0%
P3
48.5%
56.5%
OT
0.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
44.1%
58.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
46.6%
Stamkos
56.0%▬
56.0%
56.0%