Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Steven Stamkos
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Nugent-Hopkins wins 45.8% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 48.6% vs Stamkos 54.6% (-7.6%)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 54.2%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 61.6%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 50.9%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Nugent-Hopkins
Stamkos
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (231)
56.1% (342)
-8.5%
Power Play
83.3% (12)
53.3% (92)
+30.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (21)
62.5% (8)
-29.2%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +30.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (96).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Stamkos is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (325).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Stamkos
Home
51.2% (164)
53.4% (208)
Away
43.0% (100)
57.7% (234)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Stamkos
P1
50.0%
55.6%
P2
46.2%
52.8%
P3
49.5%
59.1%
OT
0.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
44.8%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.1%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
55.7%