Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Steven Stamkos
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings). Nugent-Hopkins wins 44.9% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 44.8% vs Stamkos 51.0% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Stamkos leads 27-20 in 47 meetings
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 77.9%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 63.2%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 66.2%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 67.7%
67.7%
32.3%
Nugent-Hopkins
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
27
(47 meetings)
20
27
Nugent-Hopkins
Stamkos
Last 10: Nugent-Hopkins 5-5 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
2
8
Nugent-Hopkins
Stamkos
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
7
9
Nugent-Hopkins
Stamkos
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
11
10
Nugent-Hopkins
Stamkos
21 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (8,756)
50.4% (9,799)
-5.5%
Power Play
50.7% (839)
55.1% (1,725)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
37.9% (879)
49.7% (825)
-11.8%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (3,645).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Stamkos is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (8,778).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Stamkos
Home
46.5% (5,350)
52.7% (6,248)
Away
42.9% (5,136)
49.3% (6,127)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Stamkos
P1
45.1%
49.1%
P2
43.9%
52.7%
P3
45.3%
50.9%
OT
43.5%
54.3%
Final 5 min
43.7%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
44.7%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2024 | 3 | 11:50 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 2 | 02:44 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 1 | 08:22 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 3 | 07:20 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 1 | 08:05 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 1 | 02:36 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 3 | 15:47 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 3 | 09:58 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 2 | 19:31 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 2 | 17:53 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 2 | 15:53 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 1 | 17:44 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 1 | 14:33 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 1 | 06:13 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 1 | 00:05 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 1 | 09:16 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 23, 2022 | 3 | 02:34 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 23, 2022 | 2 | 13:28 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 23, 2022 | 2 | 08:59 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |