Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Steven Stamkos
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Nugent-Hopkins wins 46.3% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 45.8% vs Stamkos 53.4% (-8.6%)
H2H factor
Nugent-Hopkins leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Stamkos 85.9%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 51.8%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 66.1%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 61.6%
38.4%
61.6%
Nugent-Hopkins
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Nugent-Hopkins
Stamkos
Last 10: Nugent-Hopkins 6-4 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Nugent-Hopkins
Stamkos
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
3
2
Nugent-Hopkins
Stamkos
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Nugent-Hopkins
Stamkos
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (527)
55.3% (628)
-9.9%
Power Play
41.2% (17)
55.1% (216)
-13.9%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (138)
40.2% (87)
+4.7%
On power play, Stamkos has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (231).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Stamkos is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (659).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Stamkos
Home
46.1% (336)
55.5% (499)
Away
44.2% (346)
51.9% (432)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Stamkos
P1
49.1%
50.7%
P2
45.3%
53.8%
P3
42.0%
55.9%
OT
25.0%
87.5%
Final 5 min
39.6%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
45.2%
Stamkos
56.0%▬
56.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2023 | 3 | 15:47 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 3 | 09:58 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 2 | 19:31 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 2 | 17:53 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 2 | 15:53 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 1 | 17:44 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 1 | 14:33 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 1 | 06:13 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 1 | 00:05 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 1 | 09:16 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |