Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Tage Thompson
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Nugent-Hopkins wins 46.3% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 45.8% vs Thompson 43.8% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 53.1%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 57.3%
Neutral zone
Thompson 56.3%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Nugent-Hopkins
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Nugent-Hopkins
Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
1
0
Nugent-Hopkins
Thompson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Nugent-Hopkins
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (527)
43.3% (735)
+2.1%
Power Play
41.2% (17)
50.0% (26)
-8.8%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (138)
36.5% (52)
+8.4%
On power play, Thompson has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (231).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Thompson is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Thompson
Home
46.1% (336)
44.5% (407)
Away
44.2% (346)
41.6% (406)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Thompson
P1
49.1%
44.4%
P2
45.3%
44.8%
P3
42.0%
40.2%
OT
25.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
39.6%
38.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
45.2%
Thompson
34.0%▼
41.5%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2022 | 3 | 16:58 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 2 | 15:02 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |