Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Tage Thompson
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 48.7% vs Thompson 43.7% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 77.8%
Defensive zone
Thompson 65.2%
Neutral zone
Thompson 68.8%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 77.8%
22.2%
77.8%
Nugent-Hopkins
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Nugent-Hopkins
Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
2
Nugent-Hopkins
Thompson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (479)
41.9% (597)
+8.4%
Power Play
50.0% (28)
50.5% (95)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
30.0% (50)
25.0% (12)
+5.0%
On even strength, Nugent-Hopkins has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (173).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Thompson is 42.0% vs left-shot opponents (514).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Thompson
Home
48.9% (270)
47.1% (367)
Away
48.1% (287)
38.0% (337)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Thompson
P1
48.7%
44.2%
P2
50.0%
41.6%
P3
47.3%
42.9%
OT
36.4%
25.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
48.5%
Thompson
34.0%▼
41.5%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2025 | 3 | 13:12 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 3 | 08:11 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |