Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Tage Thompson
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Nugent-Hopkins wins 45.8% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 48.6% vs Thompson 45.3% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 54.4%
Defensive zone
Thompson 59.1%
Neutral zone
Thompson 60.1%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 54.4%
45.6%
54.4%
Nugent-Hopkins
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Nugent-Hopkins
Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Nugent-Hopkins
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (231)
44.9% (642)
+2.7%
Power Play
83.3% (12)
47.9% (94)
+35.4%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (21)
33.3% (33)
+0.0%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +35.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (96).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Thompson is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (549).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Thompson
Home
51.2% (164)
46.0% (391)
Away
43.0% (100)
43.4% (378)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Thompson
P1
50.0%
48.1%
P2
46.2%
44.9%
P3
49.5%
41.2%
OT
0.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
44.8%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.1%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 13:59 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |