Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Tage Thompson
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.6% vs 45.9%). Nugent-Hopkins wins 46.1% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 47.7% vs Thompson 46.5% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 57.6%
Defensive zone
Thompson 54.4%
Neutral zone
Thompson 57.0%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 57.6%
42.4%
57.6%
Nugent-Hopkins
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Nugent-Hopkins
Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Nugent-Hopkins
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (189)
46.1% (484)
+1.5%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
48.4% (91)
+51.6%
Penalty Kill
29.4% (17)
30.0% (20)
-0.6%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +51.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (76).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Thompson is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (412).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Thompson
Home
48.5% (132)
47.9% (313)
Away
43.4% (76)
43.6% (282)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Thompson
P1
51.4%
50.5%
P2
41.3%
44.6%
P3
48.5%
42.3%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.1%
44.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
46.6%
Thompson
34.0%▼
41.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 13:59 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |