Who wins more faceoffs, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins or Tage Thompson?

Tage Thompson leads the head-to-head 5-1 across 6 faceoffs.

What is Ryan Nugent-Hopkins's faceoff record against Tage Thompson?

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins is 1-5 against Tage Thompson in head-to-head faceoffs. Zone breakdown: Offensive 1-3, Defensive 0-1, Neutral 0-1.

Who is predicted to win the next faceoff, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins or Tage Thompson?

Tage Thompson is the predicted winner with a 69.4% win probability based on historical stats and XGBoost ML analysis.

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Tage Thompson

Ryan Nugent-HopkinsL vs Tage ThompsonR

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head

2025-26 2024-25 2023-24 2022-23 2021-22 All Seasons

Scouting Report

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Nugent-Hopkins wins 44.9% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown

Model XGBoost ML Model

Overall FO% (Bayesian) Nugent-Hopkins 44.8% vs Thompson 42.8% (+2.1%)

H2H factor Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)

Offensive zone Thompson 69.1%

Defensive zone Thompson 69.9%

Neutral zone Thompson 70.2%

Result Tage Thompson favored at 69.4%

30.6%

69.4%

Nugent-Hopkins Thompson

Head-to-Head Record

1 - 5 (6 meetings)

Nugent-Hopkins Thompson

Last 6: Nugent-Hopkins 1-5 Thompson

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone

Edge: Thompson

Nugent-Hopkins Thompson

4 total

Defensive Zone

Edge: Thompson

Nugent-Hopkins Thompson

1 total

Neutral Zone

Edge: Thompson

Nugent-Hopkins Thompson

1 total

Situation Matchup

Situation

Nugent-Hopkins

Thompson

Edge

Even Strength

44.9% (8,756)

42.9% (3,521)

+2.0%

Power Play

50.7% (839)

46.8% (372)

+3.9%

Penalty Kill

37.9% (879)

33.6% (265)

+4.3%

On penalty kill, Nugent-Hopkins has a +4.3% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness

Thompson shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (3,645).

Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Thompson is 40.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,011).

Home / Away

Nugent-Hopkins

Thompson

Home

46.5% (5,350)

44.9% (2,115)

Away

42.9% (5,136)

40.3% (2,043)

By Period

Nugent-Hopkins

Thompson

45.1%

44.5%

43.9%

43.6%

45.3%

40.2%

43.5%

36.4%

Final 5 min

43.7%

41.0%

Recent Form

Player

Last 50

Last 200

Career

Nugent-Hopkins

58.0%▲

50.0%

44.7%

Thompson

36.0%▼

39.5%

42.6%

Recent Faceoffs

Date	Period	Time	Zone	Winner
Dec 9, 2025	3	13:59	Offensive	Tage Thompson
Jan 25, 2025	3	13:12	Offensive	Tage Thompson
Jan 25, 2025	3	08:11	Offensive	Tage Thompson
Oct 18, 2022	3	16:58	Offensive	Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Oct 18, 2022	2	15:02	Defensive	Tage Thompson
Nov 12, 2021	2	19:10	Neutral	Tage Thompson

Nugent-Hopkins's Profile | Thompson's Profile