Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Vincent Trocheck
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Nugent-Hopkins wins 43.8% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 48.3% vs Trocheck 58.2% (-10.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Trocheck 53.6%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 71.5%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 59.2%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Nugent-Hopkins
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Nugent-Hopkins
Trocheck
Last 5: Nugent-Hopkins 2-3 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Nugent-Hopkins
Trocheck
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
1
Nugent-Hopkins
Trocheck
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (408)
57.6% (1,061)
-6.6%
Power Play
0.0% (6)
65.1% (338)
-65.1%
Penalty Kill
35.9% (78)
49.5% (101)
-13.6%
On power play, Trocheck has a +65.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (153).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Trocheck is 59.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,118).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Trocheck
Home
50.8% (258)
61.8% (735)
Away
44.9% (234)
55.8% (765)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Trocheck
P1
51.6%
57.7%
P2
45.2%
57.9%
P3
47.6%
60.4%
OT
40.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
47.4%
58.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
48.0%
Trocheck
60.0%▼
62.0%
58.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2023 | 2 | 05:56 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 10:00 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 00:54 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 00:49 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 14:46 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |