Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Vincent Trocheck
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 48.7% vs Trocheck 58.8% (-10.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Trocheck 51.3%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 62.4%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 62.4%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 62.4%
62.4%
37.6%
Nugent-Hopkins
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Nugent-Hopkins
Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
1
Nugent-Hopkins
Trocheck
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (479)
59.6% (1,032)
-9.3%
Power Play
50.0% (28)
62.1% (253)
-12.1%
Penalty Kill
30.0% (50)
55.4% (249)
-25.4%
On penalty kill, Trocheck has a +25.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (173).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Trocheck is 59.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,143).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Trocheck
Home
48.9% (270)
61.7% (786)
Away
48.1% (287)
56.8% (748)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Trocheck
P1
48.7%
61.7%
P2
50.0%
58.8%
P3
47.3%
57.6%
OT
36.4%
66.7%
Final 5 min
43.8%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.5%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2025 | 2 | 14:13 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |