Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Vincent Trocheck
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Trocheck on offensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 17 meetings). Nugent-Hopkins wins 44.9% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 44.8% vs Trocheck 54.2% (-9.5%)
H2H factor
Trocheck leads 33-18 in 51 meetings
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 90.3%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 93.8%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 86.9%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 90.2%
90.2%
9.8%
Nugent-Hopkins
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
33
(51 meetings)
18
33
Nugent-Hopkins
Trocheck
Last 10: Nugent-Hopkins 3-7 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
4
13
Nugent-Hopkins
Trocheck
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
9
7
Nugent-Hopkins
Trocheck
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Trocheck
5
13
Nugent-Hopkins
Trocheck
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (8,756)
53.7% (10,904)
-8.8%
Power Play
50.7% (839)
60.8% (1,856)
-10.1%
Penalty Kill
37.9% (879)
49.6% (1,461)
-11.7%
On penalty kill, Trocheck has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (3,645).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Trocheck is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (9,884).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Trocheck
Home
46.5% (5,350)
56.3% (7,114)
Away
42.9% (5,136)
52.2% (7,107)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Trocheck
P1
45.1%
54.1%
P2
43.9%
54.7%
P3
45.3%
54.0%
OT
43.5%
52.1%
Final 5 min
43.7%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
44.7%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2025 | 2 | 14:13 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 22, 2023 | 2 | 05:56 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 10:00 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 00:54 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 00:49 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 14:46 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 17, 2023 | 1 | 10:40 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 3 | 00:36 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 2 | 14:32 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 2 | 12:36 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 1 | 04:02 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 3 | 15:22 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 2 | 07:23 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 3 | 12:27 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 3 | 14:52 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 3 | 07:26 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 3 | 02:32 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 3 | 00:23 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 1 | 18:48 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 3 | 17:04 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |