Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Vincent Trocheck
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Nugent-Hopkins wins 45.8% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 48.6% vs Trocheck 56.0% (-8.5%)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 54.1%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 57.9%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 50.3%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Nugent-Hopkins
Trocheck
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (231)
57.8% (626)
-10.2%
Power Play
83.3% (12)
63.6% (151)
+19.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (21)
44.0% (141)
-10.7%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +19.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (96).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Trocheck is 57.3% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Trocheck
Home
51.2% (164)
54.4% (390)
Away
43.0% (100)
58.3% (528)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Trocheck
P1
50.0%
56.4%
P2
46.2%
58.7%
P3
49.5%
54.8%
OT
0.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
44.8%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.1%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
56.6%