Aleksander Barkov vs Ryan O'Reilly
2019-20 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Barkov on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Barkov wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 54.0% vs O'Reilly 56.2% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barkov 54.6%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 86.0%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 75.1%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 70.6%
29.4%
70.6%
Barkov
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Barkov
O'Reilly
Last 6: Barkov 5-1 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
2
0
Barkov
O'Reilly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
2
1
Barkov
O'Reilly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barkov
1
0
Barkov
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (851)
57.3% (1,073)
-4.7%
Power Play
60.8% (286)
58.5% (258)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
47.0% (66)
50.7% (225)
-3.7%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Barkov is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (776).
Barkov shoots left. O'Reilly is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (962).
Home / Away
Barkov
O'Reilly
Home
54.4% (653)
59.2% (765)
Away
54.2% (550)
54.0% (791)
By Period
Barkov
O'Reilly
P1
52.7%
55.6%
P2
57.6%
61.0%
P3
53.2%
52.3%
OT
35.3%
61.3%
Final 5 min
58.5%
58.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
54.3%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2020 | 3 | 19:14 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 9, 2020 | 3 | 00:32 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 9, 2020 | 2 | 14:46 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 9, 2020 | 2 | 03:43 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 9, 2020 | 1 | 16:38 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 9, 2020 | 1 | 07:38 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |