Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Kopitar wins 56.9% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 55.6% vs O'Reilly 54.8% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 68.8%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 64.7%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 68.7%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 67.3%
32.7%
67.3%
Kopitar
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Kopitar
O'Reilly
Last 10: Kopitar 2-8 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
4
Kopitar
O'Reilly
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
3
Kopitar
O'Reilly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kopitar
O'Reilly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (691)
55.3% (815)
-0.5%
Power Play
64.9% (205)
58.0% (219)
+6.9%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (149)
49.2% (124)
+1.1%
On power play, Kopitar has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Kopitar is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (707).
Kopitar shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (660).
Home / Away
Kopitar
O'Reilly
Home
56.8% (533)
55.8% (579)
Away
55.5% (512)
54.6% (579)
By Period
Kopitar
O'Reilly
P1
55.7%
57.5%
P2
57.0%
54.7%
P3
56.0%
54.1%
OT
52.9%
48.0%
Final 5 min
56.6%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
66.0%▲
52.5%
56.2%
O'Reilly
48.0%▼
54.5%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2025 | OT | 04:24 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 25, 2025 | OT | 03:30 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 25, 2025 | OT | 03:05 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 25, 2025 | OT | 02:52 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 16:46 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 07:14 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 07:09 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 00:17 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 13:48 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 09:30 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 00:55 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |