Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Kopitar wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 53.9% vs O'Reilly 59.5% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 13-7 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Kopitar 76.6%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 75.1%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 72.0%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 74.4%
74.4%
25.6%
Kopitar
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
13
(20 meetings)
7
13
Kopitar
O'Reilly
Last 10: Kopitar 5-5 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
3
2
Kopitar
O'Reilly
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
6
Kopitar
O'Reilly
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
5
Kopitar
O'Reilly
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (1,295)
60.3% (1,517)
-5.0%
Power Play
53.5% (271)
61.5% (387)
-8.0%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (249)
55.0% (220)
-6.4%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Kopitar is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,080).
Kopitar shoots left. O'Reilly is 60.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,411).
Home / Away
Kopitar
O'Reilly
Home
55.6% (901)
62.5% (1,143)
Away
52.7% (915)
57.1% (981)
By Period
Kopitar
O'Reilly
P1
53.3%
56.8%
P2
55.3%
64.6%
P3
53.6%
58.5%
OT
59.4%
66.7%
Final 5 min
54.1%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
54.1%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
60.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2018 | 3 | 17:29 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 17, 2018 | 3 | 16:42 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 17, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 17, 2018 | 2 | 12:02 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 17, 2018 | 2 | 05:48 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 17, 2018 | 2 | 04:10 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 17, 2018 | 2 | 03:56 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 17, 2018 | 2 | 00:10 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 17, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 17, 2018 | 1 | 13:32 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 17, 2018 | 1 | 07:00 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 17, 2018 | 1 | 05:22 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 17, 2018 | 1 | 02:58 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 17, 2018 | 1 | 02:50 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 17, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 3 | 03:01 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 2 | 10:02 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 1 | 14:01 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 1 | 13:39 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 1 | 06:33 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |