Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 132 meetings). Kopitar wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 54.5% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 221-152 in 373 meetings
Offensive zone
Kopitar 56.3%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 55.7%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 54.7%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 55.6%
55.6%
44.4%
Kopitar
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
152
-
221
(373 meetings)
152
221
Kopitar
O'Reilly
Last 10: Kopitar 2-8 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
49
83
Kopitar
O'Reilly
132 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
47
69
Kopitar
O'Reilly
116 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
56
69
Kopitar
O'Reilly
125 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (16,723)
56.2% (15,260)
-1.6%
Power Play
59.2% (3,582)
58.8% (3,445)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (2,941)
51.4% (2,811)
-3.0%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +3.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Kopitar is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (15,150).
Kopitar shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (13,860).
Home / Away
Kopitar
O'Reilly
Home
55.3% (11,643)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
53.7% (11,651)
54.4% (10,787)
By Period
Kopitar
O'Reilly
P1
54.5%
55.6%
P2
54.9%
57.0%
P3
53.9%
55.1%
OT
59.2%
62.2%
Final 5 min
54.9%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
54.5%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2025 | OT | 04:24 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 25, 2025 | OT | 03:30 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 25, 2025 | OT | 03:05 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 25, 2025 | OT | 02:52 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 16:46 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 07:14 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 07:09 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 00:17 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 13:48 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 09:30 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 00:55 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 2 | 18:54 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 21, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 06:03 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 00:12 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 1 | 00:19 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |