Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (92% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 48.3% vs O'Reilly 56.4% (-8.7%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 19-5 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayton 94.3%
Defensive zone
Hayton 86.1%
Neutral zone
Hayton 87.7%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 89.1%
89.1%
10.9%
Hayton
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
19
(24 meetings)
5
19
Hayton
O'Reilly
Last 10: Hayton 2-8 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
3
5
Hayton
O'Reilly
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
11
Hayton
O'Reilly
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
3
Hayton
O'Reilly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (643)
56.6% (1,064)
-8.5%
Power Play
55.6% (90)
60.4% (260)
-4.8%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (129)
54.0% (261)
-10.6%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Hayton is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (540).
Hayton shoots left. O'Reilly is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Home / Away
Hayton
O'Reilly
Home
48.8% (424)
54.9% (801)
Away
47.5% (438)
58.7% (784)
By Period
Hayton
O'Reilly
P1
52.9%
58.0%
P2
47.3%
56.7%
P3
44.1%
55.4%
OT
70.0%
64.7%
Final 5 min
44.9%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
48.1%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2022 | 2 | 12:37 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 2 | 09:53 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 1 | 18:51 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 1 | 18:46 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 1 | 15:40 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 1 | 07:16 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Apr 4, 2022 | 2 | 19:33 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Apr 4, 2022 | 2 | 14:17 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 4, 2022 | 2 | 14:12 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 4, 2022 | 2 | 08:40 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 4, 2022 | 2 | 08:30 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 4, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Apr 4, 2022 | 1 | 19:15 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 4, 2022 | 1 | 19:00 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 4, 2022 | 1 | 12:09 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 4, 2022 | 1 | 05:22 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 3 | 13:29 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 3 | 05:55 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 2 | 16:40 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 2 | 14:46 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |