Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +13.1% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coleman 47.4% vs O'Reilly 59.5% (-13.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coleman 67.4%
Defensive zone
Coleman 79.3%
Neutral zone
Coleman 79.4%
Result
Blake Coleman favored at 72.2%
72.2%
27.8%
Coleman
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Coleman
O'Reilly
Last 5: Coleman 1-4 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
3
Coleman
O'Reilly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Coleman
O'Reilly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coleman
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (430)
60.3% (1,517)
-12.2%
Power Play
36.4% (11)
61.5% (387)
-25.1%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (96)
55.0% (220)
-12.3%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +25.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Coleman is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (369).
Coleman shoots left. O'Reilly is 60.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,411).
Home / Away
Coleman
O'Reilly
Home
47.5% (221)
62.5% (1,143)
Away
46.5% (316)
57.1% (981)
By Period
Coleman
O'Reilly
P1
46.7%
56.8%
P2
52.4%
64.6%
P3
42.1%
58.5%
Final 5 min
44.3%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coleman
32.0%▼
45.5%
46.9%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
60.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2018 | 3 | 13:02 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 3 | 10:42 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 1 | 04:51 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 9, 2017 | 3 | 13:01 | Defensive | Blake Coleman |
| Oct 9, 2017 | 2 | 16:47 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |