Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.7% vs O'Reilly 58.1% (-8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 52.7%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 67.6%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 53.3%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Lizotte
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Lizotte
O'Reilly
Last 5: Lizotte 2-3 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
2
Lizotte
O'Reilly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
1
0
Lizotte
O'Reilly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lizotte
O'Reilly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (316)
58.6% (841)
-5.4%
Power Play
38.5% (13)
59.9% (207)
-21.4%
Penalty Kill
28.0% (25)
58.1% (148)
-30.1%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +30.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Lizotte is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (250).
Lizotte shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Home / Away
Lizotte
O'Reilly
Home
46.9% (177)
59.8% (594)
Away
54.8% (177)
57.8% (602)
By Period
Lizotte
O'Reilly
P1
42.3%
61.7%
P2
51.8%
56.2%
P3
60.9%
59.5%
Final 5 min
57.6%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.8%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
58.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2021 | 3 | 02:20 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 2 | 13:40 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 2 | 13:06 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 2 | 06:38 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 1 | 15:32 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |