Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +14.1% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wheeler 46.8% vs O'Reilly 59.5% (-14.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wheeler 72.4%
Defensive zone
Wheeler 71.9%
Neutral zone
Wheeler 78.7%
Result
Blake Wheeler favored at 74.9%
74.9%
25.1%
Wheeler
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Wheeler
O'Reilly
Last 7: Wheeler 1-6 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Wheeler
O'Reilly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
3
Wheeler
O'Reilly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
2
Wheeler
O'Reilly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wheeler
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (294)
60.3% (1,517)
-12.0%
Power Play
34.0% (50)
61.5% (387)
-27.5%
Penalty Kill
38.9% (18)
55.0% (220)
-16.1%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +27.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Wheeler is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (222).
Wheeler shoots right. O'Reilly is 59.7% vs right-shot opponents (713).
Home / Away
Wheeler
O'Reilly
Home
50.8% (183)
62.5% (1,143)
Away
40.8% (179)
57.1% (981)
By Period
Wheeler
O'Reilly
P1
44.1%
56.8%
P2
48.7%
64.6%
P3
45.2%
58.5%
OT
40.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
39.8%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wheeler
60.0%▲
53.0%
45.9%
O'Reilly
56.0%▲
54.5%
60.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2018 | 3 | 14:53 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 9, 2018 | 3 | 00:41 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 9, 2018 | 2 | 19:03 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 9, 2018 | 2 | 04:28 | Neutral | Blake Wheeler |
| Jan 9, 2018 | 1 | 18:03 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 9, 2018 | 1 | 08:59 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 9, 2018 | 1 | 04:10 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |