Christian Dvorak vs Ryan O'Reilly
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Dvorak wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 52.9% vs O'Reilly 54.9% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 51.1%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 54.9%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 51.2%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Dvorak
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Dvorak
O'Reilly
Last 6: Dvorak 3-3 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
2
Dvorak
O'Reilly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
3
1
Dvorak
O'Reilly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (762)
55.4% (826)
-1.7%
Power Play
54.0% (124)
57.9% (221)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (82)
50.4% (129)
-2.8%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Dvorak is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Dvorak shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (662).
Home / Away
Dvorak
O'Reilly
Home
53.6% (461)
55.8% (579)
Away
52.9% (507)
54.9% (597)
By Period
Dvorak
O'Reilly
P1
54.1%
57.7%
P2
52.9%
54.8%
P3
53.8%
54.3%
OT
36.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.3%
55.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
53.2%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 18:39 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 18:35 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 16:21 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 2 | 14:11 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 15:33 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 04:27 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |