Christian Dvorak vs Ryan O'Reilly
2016-17 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Dvorak wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 47.1% vs O'Reilly 57.6% (-11.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dvorak 83.9%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 88.9%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 85.1%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 86.7%
86.7%
13.3%
Dvorak
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
8
(9 meetings)
1
8
Dvorak
O'Reilly
Last 9: Dvorak 1-8 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
3
Dvorak
O'Reilly
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
5
Dvorak
O'Reilly
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (851)
57.9% (1,179)
-11.0%
Power Play
48.7% (113)
63.0% (292)
-14.3%
Penalty Kill
40.5% (42)
53.8% (320)
-13.3%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Dvorak is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (642).
Dvorak shoots left. O'Reilly is 60.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,095).
Home / Away
Dvorak
O'Reilly
Home
47.5% (526)
61.3% (884)
Away
46.0% (480)
54.8% (907)
By Period
Dvorak
O'Reilly
P1
48.0%
55.5%
P2
46.3%
61.0%
P3
46.2%
56.8%
OT
50.0%
67.7%
Final 5 min
44.9%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
46.8%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2017 | 3 | 09:08 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 2, 2017 | 2 | 01:37 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 2, 2017 | 1 | 07:10 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 26, 2017 | 3 | 09:36 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 26, 2017 | 2 | 17:54 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 26, 2017 | 2 | 00:45 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 26, 2017 | 2 | 00:32 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 26, 2017 | 1 | 10:10 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 26, 2017 | 1 | 06:14 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |