Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +17.0% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Strome wins 43.2% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 45.2% vs O'Reilly 59.5% (-17.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 67.3%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 61.3%
Neutral zone
Strome 63.5%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 54.7%
45.3%
54.7%
Strome
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Strome
O'Reilly
Last 8: Strome 3-5 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
1
0
Strome
O'Reilly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
4
Strome
O'Reilly
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Strome
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
41.5% (195)
60.3% (1,517)
-18.8%
Power Play
57.9% (19)
61.5% (387)
-3.6%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +18.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Strome is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (132).
Strome shoots left. O'Reilly is 60.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,411).
Home / Away
Strome
O'Reilly
Home
46.6% (73)
62.5% (1,143)
Away
41.1% (141)
57.1% (981)
By Period
Strome
O'Reilly
P1
40.3%
56.8%
P2
48.6%
64.6%
P3
40.0%
58.5%
Final 5 min
44.2%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
70.0%▲
59.5%
43.0%
O'Reilly
56.0%▲
54.5%
60.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2018 | 3 | 10:55 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 21, 2018 | 2 | 08:53 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 21, 2018 | 2 | 08:39 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 21, 2018 | 1 | 13:02 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 21, 2018 | 1 | 12:58 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 21, 2018 | 1 | 12:51 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 21, 2018 | 1 | 10:04 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 21, 2018 | 1 | 04:55 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |