Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on neutral-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 48.0% vs O'Reilly 56.2% (-8.9%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 78.3%
Defensive zone
Strome 78.8%
Neutral zone
Strome 80.0%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 79.6%
79.6%
20.4%
Strome
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Strome
O'Reilly
Last 10: Strome 3-7 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Strome
O'Reilly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
2
Strome
O'Reilly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
3
4
Strome
O'Reilly
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (533)
57.3% (1,073)
-9.6%
Power Play
50.0% (40)
58.5% (258)
-8.5%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (8)
50.7% (225)
-13.2%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Strome is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (356).
Strome shoots left. O'Reilly is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (962).
Home / Away
Strome
O'Reilly
Home
50.8% (244)
59.2% (765)
Away
45.4% (337)
54.0% (791)
By Period
Strome
O'Reilly
P1
50.3%
55.6%
P2
44.1%
61.0%
P3
49.2%
52.3%
OT
33.3%
61.3%
Final 5 min
44.3%
58.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
47.7%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2020 | 2 | 12:23 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 8, 2020 | 1 | 08:03 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 3 | 16:25 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 3 | 13:20 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 3 | 08:06 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 3 | 00:30 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 2 | 07:17 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 2 | 00:34 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 2 | 00:19 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 1 | 01:06 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |