Frederick Gaudreau vs Ryan O'Reilly
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 28 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 48.6% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 36-21 in 57 meetings
Offensive zone
Gaudreau 91.9%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 84.7%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 91.1%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 89.1%
89.1%
10.9%
Gaudreau
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
21
-
36
(57 meetings)
21
36
Gaudreau
O'Reilly
Last 10: Gaudreau 3-7 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
8
20
Gaudreau
O'Reilly
28 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
12
9
Gaudreau
O'Reilly
21 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
7
Gaudreau
O'Reilly
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (3,745)
56.2% (15,260)
-7.5%
Power Play
53.9% (219)
58.8% (3,445)
-4.9%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (789)
51.4% (2,811)
-4.8%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Gaudreau is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,473).
Gaudreau shoots right. O'Reilly is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (7,689).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
O'Reilly
Home
49.2% (2,437)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
47.8% (2,316)
54.4% (10,787)
By Period
Gaudreau
O'Reilly
P1
49.7%
55.6%
P2
47.3%
57.0%
P3
49.1%
55.1%
OT
36.7%
62.2%
Final 5 min
47.5%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
48.6%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 06:57 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 02:12 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 09:20 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 05:31 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 14:25 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 03:11 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 02:51 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 19:44 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 03:12 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 3 | 11:43 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 3 | 08:09 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 1 | 08:28 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 08:58 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 1 | 02:05 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 19:53 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 19:41 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 14:22 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 2 | 18:27 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 2 | 03:49 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |