Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Eichel wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 47.2% vs O'Reilly 56.5% (-9.9%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 13-4 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Eichel 79.1%
Defensive zone
Eichel 86.3%
Neutral zone
Eichel 81.6%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 82.5%
82.5%
17.5%
Eichel
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
13
(17 meetings)
4
13
Eichel
O'Reilly
Last 10: Eichel 2-8 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
3
Eichel
O'Reilly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
5
Eichel
O'Reilly
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
4
5
Eichel
O'Reilly
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (1,023)
57.1% (1,367)
-11.5%
Power Play
55.8% (197)
59.4% (286)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
42.0% (50)
52.5% (257)
-10.5%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Eichel is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (872).
Eichel shoots right. O'Reilly is 58.3% vs right-shot opponents (709).
Home / Away
Eichel
O'Reilly
Home
45.4% (604)
59.2% (936)
Away
48.5% (666)
54.6% (974)
By Period
Eichel
O'Reilly
P1
48.3%
57.3%
P2
49.6%
57.5%
P3
43.8%
55.0%
OT
45.9%
71.1%
Final 5 min
48.4%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
47.0%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2019 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 17, 2019 | 2 | 19:30 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 17, 2019 | 2 | 09:28 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 17, 2019 | 2 | 05:37 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 17, 2019 | 1 | 18:31 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 17, 2019 | 1 | 09:12 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 17, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 3 | 14:31 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 3 | 13:47 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 3 | 03:20 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 3 | 03:08 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 2 | 09:16 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 1 | 07:01 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 1 | 05:04 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |