Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Skinner 44.7% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-11.6%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 12-8 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Skinner 96.6%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 75.5%
Neutral zone
Skinner 77.8%
Result
Jeff Skinner favored at 59.6%
59.6%
40.4%
Skinner
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
12
(20 meetings)
8
12
Skinner
O'Reilly
Last 10: Skinner 5-5 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Skinner
8
1
Skinner
O'Reilly
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
10
Skinner
O'Reilly
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Skinner
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Skinner
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
42.3% (1,317)
56.2% (15,260)
-13.9%
Power Play
52.0% (404)
58.8% (3,445)
-6.8%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (15)
51.4% (2,811)
-18.1%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +18.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Skinner is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,097).
Skinner shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (13,860).
Home / Away
Skinner
O'Reilly
Home
48.2% (949)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
39.9% (791)
54.4% (10,787)
By Period
Skinner
O'Reilly
P1
41.6%
55.6%
P2
46.0%
57.0%
P3
46.4%
55.1%
OT
23.5%
62.2%
Final 5 min
46.0%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
44.4%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2023 | 3 | 07:23 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 3 | 14:24 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 3 | 03:06 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 2 | 04:14 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 1 | 14:50 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 25, 2022 | 3 | 11:43 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Feb 25, 2022 | 2 | 17:22 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 25, 2022 | 2 | 15:50 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Feb 25, 2022 | 1 | 14:53 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Feb 25, 2022 | 1 | 07:29 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 17, 2019 | 2 | 16:28 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 17, 2019 | 2 | 10:07 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Mar 17, 2019 | 1 | 15:32 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 3 | 07:06 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 2 | 19:46 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 1 | 11:44 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 15, 2017 | 2 | 19:23 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 18, 2017 | 2 | 16:31 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 3, 2010 | 1 | 09:00 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 3, 2010 | 1 | 04:17 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |