Who wins more faceoffs, Jonathan Marchessault or Ryan O'Reilly?

Ryan O'Reilly leads the head-to-head 6-1 across 7 faceoffs.

What is Jonathan Marchessault's faceoff record against Ryan O'Reilly?

Jonathan Marchessault is 1-6 against Ryan O'Reilly in head-to-head faceoffs. Zone breakdown: Offensive 1-0, Defensive 0-3, Neutral 0-3.

Who is predicted to win the next faceoff, Jonathan Marchessault or Ryan O'Reilly?

Jonathan Marchessault is the predicted winner with a 78.4% win probability based on historical stats and XGBoost ML analysis.

Jonathan Marchessault vs Ryan O'Reilly

Jonathan MarchessaultR vs Ryan O'ReillyL

2017-18 · Faceoff Head-to-Head

2025-26 2024-25 2023-24 2022-23 2021-22 All Seasons

Scouting Report

Ryan O'Reilly holds a +16.5% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Marchessault wins 40.6% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown

Model XGBoost ML Model

Overall FO% (Bayesian) Marchessault 44.4% vs O'Reilly 59.5% (-16.5%)

H2H factor Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)

Offensive zone Marchessault 80.1%

Defensive zone Marchessault 71.4%

Neutral zone Marchessault 84.9%

Result Jonathan Marchessault favored at 78.4%

78.4%

21.6%

Marchessault O'Reilly

Head-to-Head Record

1 - 6 (7 meetings)

Marchessault O'Reilly

Last 7: Marchessault 1-6 O'Reilly

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone

Edge: Marchessault

Marchessault O'Reilly

1 total

Defensive Zone

Edge: O'Reilly

Marchessault O'Reilly

3 total

Neutral Zone

Edge: O'Reilly

Marchessault O'Reilly

3 total

Situation Matchup

Situation

Marchessault

O'Reilly

Edge

Even Strength

41.8% (546)

60.3% (1,517)

-18.5%

Power Play

60.3% (58)

61.5% (387)

-1.2%

Penalty Kill

33.3% (3)

55.0% (220)

-21.7%

On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +21.7% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness

O'Reilly shoots left. Marchessault is 40.6% vs left-shot opponents (429).

Marchessault shoots right. O'Reilly is 59.7% vs right-shot opponents (713).

Home / Away

Marchessault

O'Reilly

Home

42.8% (320)

62.5% (1,143)

Away

44.3% (287)

57.1% (981)

By Period

Marchessault

O'Reilly

44.8%

56.8%

45.5%

64.6%

40.6%

58.5%

50.0%

66.7%

Final 5 min

38.5%

59.5%

Recent Form

Player

Last 50

Last 200

Career

Marchessault

32.0%▬

32.0%

43.5%

O'Reilly

54.0%▼

55.5%

60.0%

Recent Faceoffs

Date	Period	Time	Zone	Winner
Mar 10, 2018	3	09:38	Defensive	Ryan O'Reilly
Mar 10, 2018	3	00:00	Neutral	Ryan O'Reilly
Mar 10, 2018	2	11:18	Offensive	Jonathan Marchessault
Mar 10, 2018	1	14:33	Neutral	Ryan O'Reilly
Mar 10, 2018	1	03:45	Defensive	Ryan O'Reilly
Mar 10, 2018	1	03:15	Defensive	Ryan O'Reilly
Mar 10, 2018	1	00:00	Neutral	Ryan O'Reilly

Marchessault's Profile | O'Reilly's Profile