Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +14.2% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Couture wins 43.4% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 46.8% vs O'Reilly 59.5% (-14.2%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 10-2 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Couture 90.1%
Defensive zone
Couture 90.1%
Neutral zone
Couture 90.0%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 90.1%
90.1%
9.9%
Couture
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
10
(12 meetings)
2
10
Couture
O'Reilly
Last 10: Couture 2-8 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
4
Couture
O'Reilly
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
2
Couture
O'Reilly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
4
Couture
O'Reilly
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (275)
60.3% (1,517)
-14.1%
Power Play
43.8% (16)
61.5% (387)
-17.7%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (34)
55.0% (220)
-10.9%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Couture is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (205).
Couture shoots left. O'Reilly is 60.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,411).
Home / Away
Couture
O'Reilly
Home
46.1% (154)
62.5% (1,143)
Away
45.6% (171)
57.1% (981)
By Period
Couture
O'Reilly
P1
45.0%
56.8%
P2
40.8%
64.6%
P3
50.8%
58.5%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
48.1%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
45.8%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
60.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2017 | 2 | 09:42 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 12, 2017 | 3 | 05:01 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 12, 2017 | 3 | 03:15 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 12, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Oct 12, 2017 | 2 | 16:18 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 12, 2017 | 2 | 10:18 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 12, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 12, 2017 | 1 | 13:18 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 12, 2017 | 1 | 10:21 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Oct 12, 2017 | 1 | 10:17 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 12, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |