Scouting Report
Mikko Rantanen holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Rantanen on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Rantanen wins 59.6% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rantanen 53.7% vs O'Reilly 56.2% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rantanen 68.5%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 76.1%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 52.5%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Rantanen
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Rantanen
O'Reilly
Last 8: Rantanen 4-4 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rantanen
3
0
Rantanen
O'Reilly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
2
Rantanen
O'Reilly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
2
Rantanen
O'Reilly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rantanen
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (58)
57.3% (1,073)
+1.3%
Power Play
58.8% (17)
58.5% (258)
+0.3%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Rantanen is 59.6% vs left-shot opponents (52).
Rantanen shoots left. O'Reilly is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (962).
Home / Away
Rantanen
O'Reilly
Home
66.7% (42)
59.2% (765)
Away
48.5% (33)
54.0% (791)
By Period
Rantanen
O'Reilly
P1
61.3%
55.6%
P2
56.0%
61.0%
P3
57.9%
52.3%
Final 5 min
42.9%
58.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
58.7%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2020 | 2 | 18:59 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 1 | 16:39 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 1 | 16:18 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Dec 16, 2019 | 3 | 03:04 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 16, 2019 | 2 | 19:40 | Neutral | Mikko Rantanen |
| Dec 16, 2019 | 2 | 19:23 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 16, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 16, 2019 | 1 | 15:07 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |