Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Rantanen on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rantanen 50.0% vs O'Reilly 58.1% (-8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 68.9%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 92.8%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 81.3%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 73.7%
26.3%
73.7%
Rantanen
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Rantanen
O'Reilly
Last 5: Rantanen 4-1 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rantanen
4
0
Rantanen
O'Reilly
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Rantanen
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rantanen
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (57)
58.6% (841)
-4.2%
Power Play
14.3% (7)
59.9% (207)
-45.6%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +45.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Rantanen is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (40).
Rantanen shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Home / Away
Rantanen
O'Reilly
Home
54.5% (44)
59.8% (594)
Away
40.0% (20)
57.8% (602)
By Period
Rantanen
O'Reilly
P1
50.0%
61.7%
P2
55.6%
56.2%
P3
40.9%
59.5%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
38.5%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
50.0%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
58.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2021 | 3 | 16:08 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 13, 2021 | 2 | 18:06 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Jan 13, 2021 | 2 | 18:00 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Jan 13, 2021 | 2 | 05:28 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Jan 13, 2021 | 2 | 00:06 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |