Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Kadri wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 49.2% vs O'Reilly 56.2% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 16-4 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Kadri 82.4%
Defensive zone
Kadri 87.4%
Neutral zone
Kadri 81.0%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 83.6%
83.6%
16.4%
Kadri
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
16
(20 meetings)
4
16
Kadri
O'Reilly
Last 10: Kadri 2-8 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
3
Kadri
O'Reilly
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
7
Kadri
O'Reilly
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
6
Kadri
O'Reilly
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (1,087)
56.9% (1,203)
-9.2%
Power Play
56.9% (195)
60.2% (329)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (22)
50.4% (280)
+4.1%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Kadri is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (840).
Kadri shoots left. O'Reilly is 59.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,111).
Home / Away
Kadri
O'Reilly
Home
51.1% (664)
58.6% (879)
Away
47.2% (640)
54.6% (933)
By Period
Kadri
O'Reilly
P1
48.9%
55.6%
P2
48.1%
57.9%
P3
49.8%
55.7%
OT
58.6%
62.5%
Final 5 min
47.7%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
49.2%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2016 | 3 | 11:13 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 31, 2016 | 2 | 10:12 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 31, 2016 | 1 | 11:56 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 31, 2016 | 1 | 03:41 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 19, 2016 | 3 | 17:09 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 19, 2016 | 3 | 17:01 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 19, 2016 | 3 | 12:05 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 19, 2016 | 3 | 02:21 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 19, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 19, 2016 | 2 | 12:51 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 19, 2016 | 2 | 00:08 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 19, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 19, 2016 | 1 | 12:31 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 19, 2016 | 1 | 09:33 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 19, 2016 | 1 | 02:43 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 19, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 21, 2015 | 2 | 06:48 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 21, 2015 | 2 | 03:13 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 21, 2015 | 1 | 05:56 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 21, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |