Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Kadri wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 47.7% vs O'Reilly 55.2% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 11-2 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Kadri 93.0%
Defensive zone
Kadri 71.5%
Neutral zone
Kadri 81.0%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 81.2%
81.2%
18.8%
Kadri
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
11
(13 meetings)
2
11
Kadri
O'Reilly
Last 10: Kadri 2-8 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
3
Kadri
O'Reilly
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
6
Kadri
O'Reilly
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
2
Kadri
O'Reilly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (1,005)
56.1% (690)
-9.9%
Power Play
57.3% (199)
64.6% (96)
-7.3%
Penalty Kill
26.7% (30)
45.9% (109)
-19.2%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +19.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Kadri is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (793).
Kadri shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (603).
Home / Away
Kadri
O'Reilly
Home
47.4% (641)
58.3% (408)
Away
47.6% (593)
53.6% (487)
By Period
Kadri
O'Reilly
P1
46.9%
57.7%
P2
49.5%
54.8%
P3
46.2%
55.2%
OT
42.9%
45.5%
Final 5 min
46.4%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
47.5%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2023 | 3 | 12:15 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 3 | 08:18 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 3 | 08:05 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 2 | 05:47 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 1 | 12:33 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 1 | 06:21 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 16, 2022 | 3 | 14:31 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 16, 2022 | 2 | 14:56 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 16, 2022 | 2 | 14:40 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 16, 2022 | 2 | 11:46 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 16, 2022 | 2 | 06:50 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 16, 2022 | 1 | 19:55 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 16, 2022 | 1 | 10:48 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |