Nicklas Backstrom vs Ryan O'Reilly
2011-12 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backstrom 50.9% vs O'Reilly 52.6% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backstrom 70.7%
Defensive zone
Backstrom 59.1%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 64.0%
Result
Nicklas Backstrom favored at 64.7%
64.7%
35.3%
Backstrom
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Backstrom
O'Reilly
Last 5: Backstrom 1-4 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Backstrom
O'Reilly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
2
Backstrom
O'Reilly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Backstrom
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backstrom
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (496)
52.5% (1,177)
-3.5%
Power Play
55.6% (151)
54.6% (130)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
57.9% (38)
52.8% (108)
+5.1%
On penalty kill, Backstrom has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Backstrom is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (503).
Backstrom shoots left. O'Reilly is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,027).
Home / Away
Backstrom
O'Reilly
Home
53.5% (368)
54.9% (669)
Away
48.3% (323)
51.0% (774)
By Period
Backstrom
O'Reilly
P1
49.1%
52.4%
P2
51.0%
56.1%
P3
53.5%
49.8%
OT
40.0%
57.7%
Final 5 min
48.5%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
51.1%
O'Reilly
56.0%▲
54.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2011 | 2 | 09:42 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 2 | 07:28 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 1 | 17:47 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 1 | 17:32 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 1 | 11:47 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |