Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Faksa wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Faksa 54.5% vs O'Reilly 56.4% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 56.2%
Defensive zone
Faksa 71.0%
Neutral zone
Faksa 59.6%
Result
Radek Faksa favored at 56.6%
56.6%
43.4%
Faksa
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
10
(14 meetings)
4
10
Faksa
O'Reilly
Last 10: Faksa 3-7 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
7
Faksa
O'Reilly
7 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Faksa
O'Reilly
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Faksa
1
0
Faksa
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Faksa
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (584)
56.6% (1,064)
-1.5%
Power Play
66.7% (12)
60.4% (260)
+6.3%
Penalty Kill
53.5% (99)
54.0% (261)
-0.5%
On power play, Faksa has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Faksa is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (430).
Faksa shoots left. O'Reilly is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Home / Away
Faksa
O'Reilly
Home
54.5% (341)
54.9% (801)
Away
55.6% (354)
58.7% (784)
By Period
Faksa
O'Reilly
P1
60.9%
58.0%
P2
53.9%
56.7%
P3
51.4%
55.4%
OT
54.5%
64.7%
Final 5 min
57.8%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Faksa
54.0%▲
50.5%
55.1%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2022 | 3 | 13:17 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 9, 2022 | 3 | 10:46 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 3 | 03:38 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 1 | 02:34 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 3 | 03:14 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 3 | 01:25 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 3 | 01:18 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 3 | 01:05 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 2 | 19:13 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 2 | 14:38 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 2 | 14:20 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 2 | 06:40 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 2 | 02:58 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 1 | 12:57 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |