Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kupari on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kupari 52.1% vs O'Reilly 55.3% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 94.1%
Defensive zone
Kupari 64.1%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 75.0%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Kupari
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Kupari
O'Reilly
Last 7: Kupari 5-2 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
2
Kupari
O'Reilly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kupari
5
0
Kupari
O'Reilly
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kupari
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (413)
56.2% (983)
-2.7%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
55.5% (254)
-55.5%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (85)
52.0% (102)
-3.8%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +55.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Kupari is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (378).
Kupari shoots right. O'Reilly is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (491).
Home / Away
Kupari
O'Reilly
Home
52.1% (257)
56.2% (697)
Away
52.9% (242)
55.1% (642)
By Period
Kupari
O'Reilly
P1
50.6%
54.5%
P2
53.6%
55.5%
P3
53.3%
57.1%
Final 5 min
55.2%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kupari
48.0%▼
51.5%
52.5%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2025 | 3 | 05:58 | Defensive | Rasmus Kupari |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 11:05 | Defensive | Rasmus Kupari |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 1 | 18:54 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 1 | 13:58 | Defensive | Rasmus Kupari |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 3 | 08:58 | Defensive | Rasmus Kupari |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 12:47 | Defensive | Rasmus Kupari |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 01:48 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |