Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. O'Reilly wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 53.7% vs Lafferty 43.9% (+11.8%)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 65.3%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 66.1%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 52.4%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
O'Reilly
Lafferty
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
55.0% (1,084)
42.6% (324)
+12.4%
Power Play
56.8% (303)
31.3% (16)
+25.5%
Penalty Kill
40.3% (149)
43.8% (16)
-3.5%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +25.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. O'Reilly is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (555).
O'Reilly shoots left. Lafferty is 43.7% vs left-shot opponents (268).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Lafferty
Home
54.8% (759)
40.9% (181)
Away
53.0% (777)
43.4% (175)
By Period
O'Reilly
Lafferty
P1
55.3%
42.2%
P2
51.9%
36.4%
P3
54.2%
48.6%
Final 5 min
56.3%
37.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
53.9%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
42.1%