Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. O'Reilly wins 55.1% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 54.9% vs Lafferty 50.7% (+3.0%)
Offensive zone
Lafferty 54.7%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 53.4%
Neutral zone
Lafferty 53.0%
Result
Sam Lafferty favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
O'Reilly
Lafferty
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (826)
52.4% (42)
+3.0%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +3.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. O'Reilly is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (514).
O'Reilly shoots left. Lafferty is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (33).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Lafferty
Home
55.8% (579)
47.8% (23)
Away
54.9% (597)
57.9% (19)
By Period
O'Reilly
Lafferty
P1
57.7%
53.3%
P2
54.8%
55.6%
P3
54.3%
47.1%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
55.5%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.4%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
52.4%