Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. O'Reilly wins 58.8% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 56.4% vs Steel 49.4% (+7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steel 57.8%
Defensive zone
Steel 51.7%
Neutral zone
Steel 60.5%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 60.5%
39.5%
60.5%
O'Reilly
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
O'Reilly
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
0
1
O'Reilly
Steel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (1,064)
49.3% (383)
+7.3%
Power Play
60.4% (260)
59.1% (22)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
54.0% (261)
14.3% (7)
+39.7%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +39.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. O'Reilly is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
O'Reilly shoots left. Steel is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (271).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Steel
Home
54.9% (801)
49.4% (180)
Away
58.7% (784)
49.1% (232)
By Period
O'Reilly
Steel
P1
58.0%
51.9%
P2
56.7%
43.8%
P3
55.4%
52.6%
Final 5 min
56.4%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.8%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2021 | 1 | 02:58 | Neutral | Sam Steel |