Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. O'Reilly wins 57.3% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 55.3% vs Steel 52.8% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 83.6%
Defensive zone
Steel 56.8%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 62.9%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 83.6%
83.6%
16.4%
O'Reilly
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
O'Reilly
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
0
O'Reilly
Steel
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (983)
56.9% (320)
-0.7%
Power Play
55.5% (254)
71.4% (7)
-15.9%
Penalty Kill
52.0% (102)
37.0% (73)
+15.0%
On power play, Steel has a +15.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. O'Reilly is 57.3% vs left-shot opponents (848).
O'Reilly shoots left. Steel is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (224).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Steel
Home
56.2% (697)
55.9% (202)
Away
55.1% (642)
51.0% (198)
By Period
O'Reilly
Steel
P1
54.5%
55.5%
P2
55.5%
55.1%
P3
57.1%
50.3%
Final 5 min
56.2%
60.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.7%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2024 | 2 | 15:57 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 3 | 07:51 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |