Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. O'Reilly wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 53.7% vs Steel 46.6% (+8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 90.6%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 56.2%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 82.1%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 82.1%
82.1%
17.9%
O'Reilly
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
O'Reilly
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
0
O'Reilly
Steel
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
55.0% (1,084)
44.6% (177)
+10.4%
Power Play
56.8% (303)
66.7% (3)
-9.9%
Penalty Kill
40.3% (149)
44.8% (29)
-4.5%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. O'Reilly is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (981).
O'Reilly shoots left. Steel is 39.4% vs left-shot opponents (109).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Steel
Home
54.8% (759)
46.7% (90)
Away
53.0% (777)
43.7% (119)
By Period
O'Reilly
Steel
P1
55.3%
47.8%
P2
51.9%
47.0%
P3
54.2%
41.3%
OT
64.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
56.3%
39.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
53.9%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2024 | 1 | 15:53 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 1 | 12:31 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |