Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). O'Reilly wins 60.1% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 59.5% vs Couturier 52.6% (+7.2%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 12-6 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 94.6%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 71.5%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 80.2%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 82.1%
82.1%
17.9%
O'Reilly
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
6
(18 meetings)
12
6
O'Reilly
Couturier
Last 10: O'Reilly 6-4 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
6
0
O'Reilly
Couturier
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
O'Reilly
Couturier
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
O'Reilly
Couturier
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
60.3% (1,517)
53.5% (770)
+6.8%
Power Play
61.5% (387)
59.4% (69)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
55.0% (220)
46.9% (162)
+8.1%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. O'Reilly is 60.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,411).
O'Reilly shoots left. Couturier is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (607).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Couturier
Home
62.5% (1,143)
53.8% (452)
Away
57.1% (981)
52.1% (549)
By Period
O'Reilly
Couturier
P1
56.8%
53.4%
P2
64.6%
52.8%
P3
58.5%
52.4%
OT
66.7%
52.9%
Final 5 min
59.5%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
60.0%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2018 | 3 | 18:45 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 7, 2018 | 3 | 15:09 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 7, 2018 | 2 | 01:36 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 7, 2018 | 1 | 01:06 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 22, 2017 | 3 | 18:46 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 22, 2017 | 3 | 08:10 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 22, 2017 | 3 | 03:34 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 22, 2017 | 2 | 19:29 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 22, 2017 | 2 | 17:09 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 22, 2017 | 2 | 14:26 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 22, 2017 | 2 | 12:10 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 22, 2017 | 2 | 12:03 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 22, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 22, 2017 | 1 | 17:50 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 22, 2017 | 1 | 14:10 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 22, 2017 | 1 | 11:01 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 2 | 19:52 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 2 | 07:40 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |