Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.9% vs 53.5%). Look for Couturier on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings). O'Reilly wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 53.7% vs Couturier 53.2% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Couturier leads 14-8 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 55.1%
Defensive zone
Couturier 59.0%
Neutral zone
Couturier 56.1%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
O'Reilly
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
14
(22 meetings)
8
14
O'Reilly
Couturier
Last 10: O'Reilly 3-7 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
3
5
O'Reilly
Couturier
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
2
O'Reilly
Couturier
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
5
7
O'Reilly
Couturier
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
55.0% (1,084)
53.8% (1,003)
+1.2%
Power Play
56.8% (303)
56.4% (202)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
40.3% (149)
42.7% (89)
-2.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. O'Reilly is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (981).
O'Reilly shoots left. Couturier is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (823).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Couturier
Home
54.8% (759)
54.4% (680)
Away
53.0% (777)
52.4% (614)
By Period
O'Reilly
Couturier
P1
55.3%
56.3%
P2
51.9%
51.8%
P3
54.2%
52.2%
OT
64.7%
60.9%
Final 5 min
56.3%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
53.9%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 14:24 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 09:52 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 18:18 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 06:03 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 04:41 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 02:43 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 12, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 3 | 15:42 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 3 | 15:29 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 3 | 08:59 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 3 | 06:16 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 3 | 01:15 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 2 | 14:30 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 2 | 03:05 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 1 | 01:39 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |