Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. O'Reilly wins 58.8% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 56.4% vs Couturier 54.5% (+1.2%)
Offensive zone
Couturier 53.5%
Defensive zone
Couturier 52.1%
Neutral zone
Couturier 54.7%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
O'Reilly
Couturier
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (1,064)
57.4% (303)
-0.8%
Power Play
60.4% (260)
65.5% (55)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
54.0% (261)
40.0% (70)
+14.0%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. O'Reilly is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
O'Reilly shoots left. Couturier is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (268).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Couturier
Home
54.9% (801)
54.3% (219)
Away
58.7% (784)
56.9% (209)
By Period
O'Reilly
Couturier
P1
58.0%
53.2%
P2
56.7%
54.8%
P3
55.4%
57.9%
OT
64.7%
71.4%
Final 5 min
56.4%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.8%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
55.6%