Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.9% vs 57.1%). Look for Couturier on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). O'Reilly wins 56.0% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 56.5% vs Couturier 56.6% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Couturier leads 11-1 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 53.1%
Defensive zone
Couturier 57.6%
Neutral zone
Couturier 55.5%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
O'Reilly
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
11
(12 meetings)
1
11
O'Reilly
Couturier
Last 10: O'Reilly 0-10 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
5
O'Reilly
Couturier
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
3
O'Reilly
Couturier
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
3
O'Reilly
Couturier
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (1,367)
55.6% (1,008)
+1.5%
Power Play
59.4% (286)
71.7% (138)
-12.3%
Penalty Kill
52.5% (257)
54.2% (177)
-1.7%
On power play, Couturier has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,201).
O'Reilly shoots left. Couturier is 57.8% vs left-shot opponents (855).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Couturier
Home
59.2% (936)
59.8% (696)
Away
54.6% (974)
54.1% (627)
By Period
O'Reilly
Couturier
P1
57.3%
54.3%
P2
57.5%
59.8%
P3
55.0%
56.6%
OT
71.1%
64.3%
Final 5 min
54.7%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.9%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
57.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2019 | 3 | 13:31 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 3 | 02:35 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 2 | 16:27 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 2 | 09:17 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 2 | 01:59 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 1 | 04:13 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 7, 2019 | 3 | 08:48 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 7, 2019 | 3 | 03:42 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 7, 2019 | 2 | 08:17 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 7, 2019 | 2 | 05:39 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 7, 2019 | 1 | 13:36 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 7, 2019 | 1 | 02:45 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |