Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +13.1% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings). O'Reilly wins 55.7% vs right-shot opponents — Lewis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 56.0% vs Lewis 43.2% (+13.1%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 18-6 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 96.5%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 98.0%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 96.5%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 97.1%
97.1%
2.9%
O'Reilly
Lewis
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
6
(24 meetings)
18
6
O'Reilly
Lewis
Last 10: O'Reilly 7-3 Lewis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
5
3
O'Reilly
Lewis
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
9
1
O'Reilly
Lewis
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
4
2
O'Reilly
Lewis
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Lewis
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (15,260)
43.2% (2,347)
+13.0%
Power Play
58.8% (3,445)
51.9% (108)
+6.9%
Penalty Kill
51.4% (2,811)
38.6% (365)
+12.8%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lewis shoots right. O'Reilly is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (7,689).
O'Reilly shoots left. Lewis is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,963).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Lewis
Home
57.6% (10,762)
44.1% (1,395)
Away
54.4% (10,787)
41.8% (1,428)
By Period
O'Reilly
Lewis
P1
55.6%
42.8%
P2
57.0%
43.9%
P3
55.1%
41.9%
OT
62.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.3%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Lewis
34.0%▼
46.5%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2024 | 3 | 18:55 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 4, 2024 | 1 | 11:13 | Defensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 3 | 12:38 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 2 | 02:59 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 1 | 10:31 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 2, 2022 | 2 | 15:14 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 2, 2022 | 2 | 05:03 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 2, 2022 | 1 | 10:19 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 3 | 10:50 | Offensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Oct 24, 2019 | 2 | 08:27 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 7, 2019 | 3 | 13:51 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 7, 2019 | 2 | 19:58 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |
| Mar 7, 2019 | 1 | 09:37 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 3 | 10:08 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 11, 2013 | 1 | 01:38 | Offensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Oct 30, 2011 | 2 | 16:11 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 26, 2011 | 2 | 14:59 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 26, 2011 | 1 | 11:49 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 21, 2010 | 3 | 18:30 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 21, 2010 | 2 | 12:12 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |