Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. O'Reilly wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Lewis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 53.7% vs Lewis 44.4% (+11.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 68.1%
Defensive zone
Lewis 74.6%
Neutral zone
Lewis 56.9%
Result
Trevor Lewis favored at 56.9%
43.1%
56.9%
O'Reilly
Lewis
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
O'Reilly
Lewis
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lewis
0
1
O'Reilly
Lewis
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Lewis
Edge
Even Strength
55.0% (1,084)
45.7% (210)
+9.3%
Power Play
56.8% (303)
71.4% (7)
-14.6%
Penalty Kill
40.3% (149)
33.7% (95)
+6.6%
On power play, Lewis has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lewis shoots right. O'Reilly is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (555).
O'Reilly shoots left. Lewis is 38.4% vs left-shot opponents (232).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Lewis
Home
54.8% (759)
48.8% (166)
Away
53.0% (777)
35.6% (146)
By Period
O'Reilly
Lewis
P1
55.3%
37.9%
P2
51.9%
46.7%
P3
54.2%
42.7%
Final 5 min
56.3%
40.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
53.9%
Lewis
34.0%▼
46.5%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2024 | 3 | 12:38 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |